Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.222882 0.259525 0.300376 0.349312 0.406373 0.470848 0.549288
2025-02-23 0.161636 0.208736 0.266953 0.344294 0.444515 0.570243 0.740359
2025-03-02 0.127788 0.176599 0.241155 0.332957 0.460495 0.631949 0.880890
2025-03-09 0.110490 0.161497 0.232843 0.340194 0.498219 0.723250 1.069806
2025-03-16 0.095565 0.146604 0.221528 0.339911 0.523138 0.797429 1.242056
2025-03-23 0.085439 0.136871 0.215715 0.345880 0.556634 0.886650 1.446924
2025-03-30 0.074598 0.124284 0.203496 0.339583 0.569139 0.943612 1.606720
2025-04-06 0.066239 0.114433 0.194109 0.336139 0.585006 1.006715 1.783331
2025-04-13 0.059557 0.106438 0.186619 0.334578 0.603238 1.075022 1.976481
2025-04-20 0.056385 0.104082 0.188346 0.349066 0.651024 1.199721 2.285883
2025-04-27 0.053282 0.101414 0.189096 0.361661 0.696543 1.325152 2.612088
2025-05-04 0.050359 0.098684 0.189330 0.373142 0.741043 1.453387 2.959455
2025-05-11 0.046484 0.093821 0.185283 0.376463 0.771312 1.560325 3.284063
2025-05-18 0.042200 0.087655 0.178047 0.372652 0.787056 1.641002 3.567263
2025-05-25 0.037582 0.080211 0.167324 0.360192 0.782978 1.679994 3.765872
2025-06-01 0.035421 0.077649 0.166293 0.368051 0.823180 1.817094 4.198958
2025-06-08 0.032763 0.073679 0.161803 0.367743 0.845214 1.917123 4.561114
2025-06-15 0.030922 0.071290 0.160438 0.374209 0.883284 2.057429 5.036573
2025-06-22 0.028262 0.066716 0.153680 0.367387 0.889446 2.124906 5.345208
2025-06-29 0.026090 0.063024 0.148506 0.363657 0.902478 2.210048 5.709284
2025-07-06 0.024261 0.059935 0.144387 0.361965 0.920262 2.308776 6.121642
2025-07-13 0.023641 0.059734 0.147137 0.377660 0.983801 2.529017 6.883806
2025-07-20 0.022921 0.059196 0.148995 0.391305 1.043774 2.747620 7.672617